Last update: 2020-11-30
Since last year, many textile people realized that the textile market is gradually weakening, and predicted that the market in 2020 may be worse than that in 2019. However, at the beginning of this year, the global epidemic started to ravage the whole textile market directly, and all textile people really felt a off-season market this year.
Now approaching the end of the year, the "answer sheet" of each textile enterprise has basically been able to present the overall situation of this year. According to the survey, the vast majority of textile enterprises are far from as good as in previous years.
Textile enterprise 1: sales volume and previous years can not be compared, has been unable to calculate the proportion of decline, profit decreased by about 20%.
Textile enterprise 2: the sales volume has decreased a lot this year. Foreign trade has not moved so far, which is supported by domestic trade orders. Profits are also poor.
Textile enterprise 3: orders have decreased by more than 50% this year. The profit has been reduced even more. Now, only a few cents can be earned per green rice, and some even need to lose some money to sell.
Textile enterprise 4: sales decreased by 30% - 40%, basically no profit.
Textile enterprise 5: the order volume has decreased by 30%, and the profit is also reduced by 30%.
Sales fell by more than 30% and profits hovered around the profit and loss line, which is basically the production status of most textile enterprises this year. And one of the most obvious characteristics of market turn is the lack of peak season. Due to different fabric varieties, the peak season distribution of textile enterprises in previous years was basically in March and April in the first half of the year, and July, August, September and October in the second half of the year. However, these months have passed this year, but many textile enterprises have not felt the sharp increase in orders at all. The plant operating rate is still not as good as in previous years, and the grey cloth inventory is overstocked.
Recently, there are many macro events, such as the US election, the second outbreak of the European epidemic, and the vaccine has made significant progress. These events have more or less affected the textile market. In all kinds of good news, the textile market is quietly improving.
Spring and summer fabrics into the production season, textile enterprises began to increase orders
11. December has always been the preparation season for the next spring and summer fabric production, and this year is the same. Recent textile market began to appear all kinds of spring and summer fabric orders.
According to a person in charge of a textile enterprise, they now have a 70000 meter printing duplicate sheet, which will be issued later, which is continuous. Recently, conventional Chiffon products like silk imitation have done more. Another textile enterprise also has the same situation. At present, there are about 1 million meters of four-way shells being made. Spring and summer clothing and autumn and winter clothing may be used.
Spring and summer fabric orders began to increase, both reasonable and unexpected. Although it is spring and summer fabric stock season, but the foreign trade market because of the epidemic situation has not fully recovered. However, with the accumulated experience of overseas countries in anti epidemic work and the current various vaccines will be put into use in the future, the market panic in the face of the epidemic situation has become much less than before.
Especially after next March, the vaccine will be officially put into use, and the global economy is bound to officially recover at that time. The sales prospect of spring and summer clothing will be far better than that of each clothing sales season this year. Therefore, it is reasonable to start stocking spring and summer fabrics before the year.
Crude oil, raw material prices rose, the market began to stock up
It has always been a very common operation in the market to stimulate the price change of textile raw materials due to the rise of crude oil price. However, this phenomenon is very rare this year. The main reason is that the crude oil market has repeatedly gone up and down, and the price of raw materials is like a roller coaster, which constantly refreshes the historical low value. The textile workers who prepare goods in the early stage can only face the continuous devaluation of stock raw materials and grey cloth. Therefore, no longer stock, buy with use has become the operating principle of most weaving enterprises. However, this phenomenon has been gradually broken recently, and the rules for purchasing raw materials have begun to move closer to the previous years.
According to a person in charge of a weaving enterprise, this year, most of the raw materials have not been hoarded, so they are afraid of devaluation. But recently, I have the idea of preparing raw materials. I'm ready to stock up for 2-3 months, which can be used one month after the year. Another textile enterprise has the same idea. They are going to store dozens of tons, which will last about a month or two.
The production and sales of polyester raw materials in recent days can also be seen, especially on October 10, the production and sales of mainstream large factories were in the range of 200% - 300%, and even the production and sales of some factories reached an amazing 600%. Some other interviewed enterprises also have the idea of stock preparation, but limited by the working capital, they can only prepare a small amount of goods. However, in general, due to the rising price of raw materials, the weaving Market is no longer waiting to wait and start to purchase raw materials decisively. Of course, this change is inseparable from the habit of weaving enterprises to reserve raw materials before the year, but more importantly, weaving enterprises' confidence in the future market is gradually recovering.Recently, some proofing, development samples and quotations in the market have begun to increase. Although it is difficult to see obvious changes in the short term, the market will recover to a great extent after the spring and summer of the year, especially after the epidemic situation is put into use.
This article is reprinted from "textile net"